They were the 3rd best scoring offense in the league, but 28th on defense. Buffalo actually led going into halftime before being outscored 21-0 in the second half. This time, he didnt need a miracle catch to beat New England thanks to his sublime pass to Mario Manningham on the game-winning drive. They're the fifth-best team in football and have the fourth-best chance to win it all with a 6% shot, according to FPI. You may have been expecting one of the more famous Super Bowl results to land a little higher on the list. And yet it was Desmond Howard who took home the MVP award thanks to his game-clinching kickoff return. They had a top 5 offense and defense. The 2007 New England Patriots won every game (160) and did so in tremendous fashion. That tops the 2020 Jaguars, who entered last season at 23% and ended up earning that No. There have been some very random teams that reached the conference championship game in recent years (Titans and 49ers, 2020; Jaguars and Vikings 2018), though. Herbert will have more protection to connect with a talented cast of offensive weapons as the Chargers rebuilt their offensive line centered around All-Pro Corey Linsley and first-round pick Rashawn Slater. Denver has eight games against FPI's bottom 10 teams: at Giants, at Jaguars, vs. The Rams are firmly in the mix this year. Matt Ryan was an MVP and led the best offense, but the defense surrendered 25.4 points per game. The Cowboys first Super Bowl win was a snooze-fest. WebTechnically the truth. The Vikings have made the playoffs every odd-year season since coach Mike Zimmer took over in 2014, which bodes well for them in 2021. Id say so, yes.. This Super Bowl gave us a bunch of memorable performances. worst Super Bowl He had one season without Peyton and went 2-14 leading to his firing and the start of the Luck era. A special season in Tennessee could be in store. The game was a blowout but did give us one of the most iconic moments in Super Bowl history: Don Beebe chasing down a prematurely celebrating Leon Lett. Let's dive into the 2021 FPI projections with the 10 biggest takeaways. Unfortunately for them, that stopped in the playoffs and in the Super Bowl. For the 2021 version of FPI, we made some under-the-hood improvements, including an updated expected points added model and a better predictive quarterback rating system. Four teams have yet to even reach the Super Bowl (two of them started as a franchise after 1990). Bart Starr won MVP with only 13 completions. That alone earned the game a spot this high on the list. What was the worst NFL defensive team to win a Super Bowl? Buffalo is on the doorstep of reaching the league championship game, thanks to the emergence of Josh Allen as one of the game's best quarterbacks. Dilfer bounced around many teams in his career, but he was lucky enough to helm the Baltimore Ravens to a Super Bowl victory on the strength of their history-making defense. worst This is the first game on this list that was actually competitive going into the fourth quarter, but it was a sloppy affair featuring seven fumbles and a pair of interceptions. Watch more top videos, highlights, and B/R original content, Do Not Sell or Share My Personal Information. 29 and 30. Jim Plunkett, a 33-year-old signal-caller at the time, was plucked off the bench early in the season and was the catalyst for the team making the playoffs, but even he only threw 18 touchdowns compared to 16 interceptions. Seriously, the Vikings are never allowed to make another Super Bowl. It was not only totally unexpected but it was made possible by a play-call that will be debated for years to come. Washington, despite being the reigning champ and making an improvement at quarterback in the form of Ryan Fitzpatrick, is second (29%), followed by the Giants (15%) and Eagles (11%). Just as importantly, no team lost more games to injury last year than the 49ers, And thats at every position. The Minnesota Vikings, Buffalo Bills and Denver Broncos have been involved in some of the worst Super Bowls, but so have the Los Angeles Rams and Dallas Cowboys. Listen below and follow the Pick Six podcast for a daily dose of everything you need to follow pro football. Not to mention, Reggie White wrecking people on defense. A fullback even if it was Hall of Famer Larry Csonka winning MVP tells you just how entertaining this one was. Although the Rams are FPI's top team of the bunch, San Francisco is actually the favorite here. Don't sleep on the rest of the league, of course. This team is starting to scratch the surface of its potential. 6) Jon Gruden, Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Replying to @GoBirds___ and @FanDuel. A solid team all around, but more importantly, proficient on offense and defense. Well, they play in a division that produced three playoff teams last year. Instead, Baltimore is here due to how poorly it played in its Super Bowl win. Detroit has a young and talented offensive line (average age 24 years old) to protect new quarterback Jared Goffwho is looking to resurrect his career after getting traded by the Los Angeles Rams. Any NFL fan intuitively knows that basing strength of schedule on the previous season's record is a fool's errand because teams' abilities change too much from year to year to go off that, not to mention the fact that a single NFL season is not always a great indicator for the talent of a team. They took down what was supposed to be the greatest team in NFL history and instead became one of the least likely Super Bowl champions in recent memory. The Kansas City Chiefs, winners of Super Bowl 57, are the favorites at +600. Peyton Manning dragged him and the rest of the team there. A great defense and front seven, but their running game hit on all cylinders with 2.305 total team rushing yards. The NFC West features three of FPI's top 10 teams in the Rams, 49ers and Seahawks, and the 21st-ranked Cardinals aren't necessarily an easy out, either. But they have arguably the toughest schedule in the NFC (nine games against playoff teams from 2020), including a stretch that goes: at Baltimore, at Chargers, home vs Aaron Rodgers, at the 49ers. But it wasn't always so certain that FPI would give Green Bay the love. Carolina Panthers +7000 (bet $10 to win $710 total), The Panthers were a fantastic 8-4 against the spread as an underdog last year, and theyre going to be underdogs frequently again this year. and quarterback rating (112.4). Their defense back in the day was shutting teams down and they had great leadership in Fran Tarkenton. Watson led the NFL in passing yards and yards per attempt, carrying an offense that finished 31st in the league in rushing. Phil Simms set the record for completion percentage after finishing 22-of-25 in an MVP effort. Plenty of fans were made because the 1998 Minnesota Vikings are the best team of all time to never make a Super Bowl. At best, the Falcons are a playoff team, but theyd need something calamitous to happen to the Bucs to have a shot to win the division., 21. The Jets just didn't look all that good on their way to the mountaintop. If they had finished better than 124, this team would have been a top 5 Super Bowl runner-up. Adding Patrick Peterson, Xavier Woods, Sheldon Richardsonand Dalvin Tomlinson in free agency improves this unit -- which also gets Danielle Hunter back from a neck injury. If you look at the teams in this stratosphere, theres a lot of continuity at the coordinator positions and, obviously, head coach and QB. This Baltimore Colts was coached by Don Shula and averaged 28.7 points per game in the '60s. 1: 3: 17: 313: 305: 40.0: Sure the game was over by the end of the second quarter, but watching Steve Young (six touchdown passes) and Jerry Rice (three touchdown receptions) tear up the Chargers was a joy to watch. While that's a long shot with Kansas City in the conference, both the Ravens and Browns have at least a 10% shot to pull it off. However, these NFL teams should not be tossed aside because they lost the Super Bowl. Out of 35 qualified quarterbacks last season, Darnold finished 33rd in completion percentage, 30th in interception percentage, 32nd in yards per attempt, and 35th in passer rating. This game will be decided at quarterback, and the daring superstar who joins Brady as the only quarterback to appear in three Super Bowls in his first six seasons is the pick here. That's ridiculous. W. 23-20. An 11-win team with only 20.3 points per game. worst Super The Bills could not close the deal in this four-year span, and most frustrating of all, all these teams were pretty well-balanced. Oh, and they had Terrell Owens, who was a superstar. Jacksonville was the worst team in the league last year, but the Jaguars were competitive in half of their games (seven of their losses were by one score). Maybe the biggest forgotten gem in sports history. Los Angeles could put itself in position to contend for a playoff spot. NFL season projections 2021: Win-loss records, playoff and Super The game itself may not be memorable but Marcus Allens 191-yard performance, which included the greatest run in Super Bowl history, pushes it into the top-30. Reggie White was downright unblockable. You won't believe how good some of these teams were. Trent Dilfer. That doesn't even sound like a real record, let alone a division winner. This contest was more important than nearly any other as it asserted the AFL's legitimacy as a league and proved it could contend with the NFL year in and year out. The game wasnt nearly as close as the score indicates, though. 14. With a hostage crisis in Iran taking attention away from the game, the Raiders and Eagles made sure Americans too concerned to tune into a football game didnt miss much. This year, theres a chance theyre 4-0 heading into a week five game against the Cowboys. ET (Rams, Seahawks, Chargers). Kam Chancellor should have been MVP. Let us first acknowledge that four future Hall of Famers were drafted by the Pittsburgh Steelers in 1974 (Lynn Swann, Jack Lambert, John Stallworth and Mike Webster). Which one is the most likely to remove itself from this dubious list? The problem is that for the first time in years, the Patriots have a brutal schedule. Baltimore has a unique spot on this list because its inclusion is not based on mediocre talent (it had players like Bubba Smith and Johnny Unitas) or that it struggled to win games (the Colts went 11-2-1). The Bills ended up with the most wins in a season (13) since 1991.